30 6 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1050 266 Strength Momentum |
1047 48.7(34) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Los Lunas | 0.000 | 1093 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1010 | 47% | |
08/21/15 | Miyamura | 0.000 | 675 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 951 | 87% | |
08/22/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.000 | 918 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 996 | 63% | |
08/25/15 | at Piedra Vista ? | 0.000 | 1001 | L 0-10 | Worse (-10) | 518 | 53% | |
08/27/15 | at Gallup | 0.000 | 581 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1080 | 89% | |
09/01/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 594 | 35% | |
09/03/15 | at Farmington | 0.000 | 1220 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 737 | 28% | |
09/08/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.001 | 669 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1175 | 84% | |
09/12/15 | Socorro | 0.007 | 1158 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1043 | 40% | |
09/15/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.011 | 739 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 957 | 79% | |
09/17/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.002 | 1273 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 653 | 24% | |
09/22/15 | Bloomfield ! | 0.034 | 918 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1073 | 68% | |
09/26/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.055 | 739 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1034 | 83% | |
10/02/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.096 | 1273 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 999 | 28% | |
10/03/15 | at Bosque | 0.140 | 1185 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1029 | 32% | |
10/10/15 | at Bloomfield ?? | 0.291 | 918 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 946 | 63% | |
10/13/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.105 | 1392 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 823 | 15% | |
10/17/15 | Hope Christian | 0.425 | 1392 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1110 | 18% | |
10/20/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.527 | 669 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 999 | 87% | |
10/22/15 | Bosque | 0.629 | 1185 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1056 | 37% | |
10/31/15 | at East Mountain !! | 0.870 | 952 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1063 | 59% | |
11/05/15 | * Socorro | 0.934 | 1158 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1043 | 37% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Kirtland Central actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1047, while
Kirtland Central's "weighted playing strength" is 1036
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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